Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Uruguay and Cabo Verde are due to meet in the FIFA World Cup group stage at Hard Rock Stadium, with the match kicking off at 3:00 pm local time and the settlement window closing at 22:00 UTC. In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the listed condition happens before expiry, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not, so the current 38% YES implies traders are giving the event a minority but meaningful chance of producing additional listed markets before the window ends.[1][2]

That price should be read against the match’s competitive context rather than as a pure view on the result. Uruguay are a traditional World Cup side and ESPN’s match odds currently make them clear favourites on the moneyline, while the teams have limited head-to-head history to anchor exact comparisons.[1][3] Flashscore also notes Uruguay were unbeaten in their previous five World Cup matches against nations, which helps explain why the market is not pricing this as a close coin flip even though the specific “more markets” outcome is less directly tied to match quality.[4]

The main catalysts are the live match itself, any official team-news updates, and the timing of market settlement relative to announcements. FIFA’s match centre is the cleanest source for line-ups and live updates, which can matter if this market depends on whether extra sub-markets are launched or resolved before the 22:00 UTC deadline.[2] ESPN’s listing also shows the game sits squarely within the settlement window, so late schedule changes, delays, or formal additions to the market set would be the key things to watch.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.