Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell | 0% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of itf brisbane: matisse bobichon vs benjamin o'connell. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Matisse Bobichon and Benjamin O'connell in the ITF Men Brisbane, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market w…
Methodology
We track ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connell on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →