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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Live odds for "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 80% Game 1 Winner 72% Game 2 Winner 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 56% Volume: $300K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
80% 20% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
80% 20% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner80%
Game 1 Winner72%
Game 2 Winner72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)52%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor45%
Any Player Quadra Kill45%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?38%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?33%
First Blood in Game 1?31%
First Blood in Game 2?30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 80% probability to lol: bilibili gaming vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Bilibili Gaming and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "…

Methodology

We track LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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