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LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 100% Volume: $163K Liquidity: $284K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon100%
Any Player Quadra Kill100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9%
Any Player Quadra Kill9%
Any Player Penta Kill9%
Odd/Even Total Kills9%
Odd/Even Total Kills8%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Any Player Quadra Kill1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1%
Any Player Penta Kill1%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage. This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Forsaken and The Secret Club Esport in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: Forsaken vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EMEA… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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