Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tigres de la UANL O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 70% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 66% |
| Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| Tigres de la UANL 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 53% |
| Club Tijuana O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tigres de la UANL O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Club Tijuana 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tigres de la UANL 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Club Tijuana O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Club Tijuana (-1.5) | 5% |
| Tigres de la UANL (-1.5) | 2% |
| Club Tijuana (-2.5) | 1% |
| Tigres de la UANL (-2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Club Tijuana 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Tigres de la UANL 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Club Tijuana faces Tigres de la UANL in a Liga MX match at Estadio Caliente, scheduled for the evening of 16 July. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the specific outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the market offers “more markets” for this fixture, with the crowd currently pricing the YES outcome at just 5%.
Historically, Tigres dominate this pairing, having won 18 of the 31 recorded meetings, while Tijuana has secured only six victories and seven draws[3][8]. This long-term imbalance suggests that unusual outcomes—such as Tijuana winning or a high-scoring draw—are rare, which aligns with the low 5% probability assigned to the YES side. In similar Liga MX fixtures where one team holds a clear historical edge, secondary markets often reflect that disparity by pricing unlikely events at single-digit percentages.
Traders should monitor final squad announcements and any in-game incidents like early goals or injuries, as these can shift the odds on “more markets” rapidly. Although the match is set for 16 July, late changes to player availability or tactical shifts could alter the likelihood of secondary outcomes. Recent head-to-head data confirms Tigres’ superiority, but a single upset—like Tijuana’s 3–0 win in a prior encounter—shows volatility remains possible[5]. Watch for official Liga MX updates before the settlement window closes on 17 July.
Methodology
This page reviews Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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