Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Extra Innings | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% Los Angeles Angels | 0% Athletics |
Market context
The Los Angeles Angels and Athletics were scheduled to play a regular-season MLB game on 20 June at 10:05pm ET, and the market resolves with the named side if that team wins; if the game is cancelled without a make-up or ends tied, it settles 50-50. In prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the specified outcome happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not, so a 0% crowd-implied chance means traders are assigning almost no value to an Angels win in this contract’s current pricing. [2]
That reading should be put beside the actual game context, because baseball outcomes are volatile and markets move quickly on line-ups, pitching changes and late scratches. In fact, this match has already been completed, with the Angels beating the Athletics 7-0; Walbert Ureña and three relievers combined on a five-hitter, and the Angels’ official recap also records the shutout win. [1][7] For a newcomer, that is a useful reminder that prediction prices are snapshots of expectations, not final results. [1][2]
The main catalysts a trader would normally watch are the confirmed starting pitchers, any late injury or rest news, and whether the game starts on time, is postponed or is suspended and resumed later. MLB’s schedule page shows the fixture at Sacramento on 20 June, and the market rules also note that postponed games remain open until completion, while outright cancellations or ties are handled as a 50-50 settlement. [8][2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $492K.
Methodology
This page reviews Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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