Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 7 June, the Milwaukee Brewers travel to Colorado to face the Rockies in an afternoon fixture. A YES share in this market pays out if Milwaukee wins; a NO share pays out if Colorado wins. The 63% crowd probability reflects a modest but meaningful edge to the Brewers, suggesting traders expect them to prevail roughly two times in three outcomes. The settlement window extends to 14 June to accommodate any postponements, with a 50-50 split applying only if the game is cancelled without a rescheduled date or ends in a tie—an exceedingly rare occurrence in baseball.

Historical context matters here: the Brewers have finished above .500 in four of the past five seasons and maintain a stronger recent record than Colorado, whose roster has undergone significant turnover. Head-to-head records between these clubs typically favour Milwaukee in non-neutral settings, though the altitude advantage at Coors Field (Denver sits at 5,280 feet) has historically inflated run totals and compressed win probabilities. The current 63% probability sits within the typical range for a matchup between a mid-tier contender and a rebuilding team playing at home.

Traders should monitor pitching assignments and injury reports released in the days before the fixture. Starting pitcher quality—particularly whether either team deploys a top-tier arm—can shift win probability by 5–10 percentage points. Weather conditions at Coors Field, including temperature and wind direction, also influence scoring patterns meaningfully. Recent team form, roster availability, and any last-minute roster moves warrant attention as the settlement window approaches.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.