Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in Denver, and this market settles on whichever team wins the game. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if the named team wins, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not; here, the crowd-implied 47% suggests the Pirates are priced as a slight underdog, broadly in line with moneyline markets that have them around the mid-\(-130s\) to mid-\(-140s\) favourite range against a Rockies team with a far weaker record.[1][3][6]

For context, the Pirates have been the more competitive side this season, with a 38-37 record versus Colorado’s 28-47, which helps explain why a near-even probability is not being treated as a long shot.[1] Recent previews also point to Pittsburgh carrying the cleaner pitching-and-lineup case, while Colorado’s home setting at altitude can still make games at Coors Field more volatile than the standings alone suggest.[1][2]

The main things to watch before settlement are lineup confirmations, starting pitcher changes, and whether the game is played as scheduled, because postponement keeps the market open until completion and a cancellation or tie would resolve 50-50. ESPN lists this as the first game of a three-game series, so any weather delay, doubleheader adjustment, or late scratch would matter more than usual for traders tracking the final result.[6][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.