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UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 68% Fight won by KO/TKO? 58% Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra 45% Gandra to win by KO/TKO? 41% Volume: $210K Liquidity: $110K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds68%
Fight won by KO/TKO?58%
Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra45%
Gandra to win by KO/TKO?41%
O/U 1.5 Rounds38%
O/U 2.5 Rounds22%
Reese to win by KO/TKO?19%
Fight won by submission?19%
Fight to Go the Distance?16%

Market context

Market consensus: 68% chance of ufc 329: zachary reese vs. ryan gandra (middleweight, early prelims). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Zachary Reese" if Zachary Reese is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ryan Gandra at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for J…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 68% for "UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 68% Other 32%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $210K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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Trade UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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