Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: veronika erjavec vs leolia jeanjean. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Veronika Erjavec and Leolia Jeanjean in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →