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Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $115K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti0%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 Winner0%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 2 Winner0%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Match O/U 21.50%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Match O/U 22.50%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of rome: teodora kostovic vs lucia bronzetti. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Teodora Kostovic and Lucia Bronzetti in the Rome, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page reviews Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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