Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf palma del rio: eva vedder vs elena micic. This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Vedder and Elena Micic in the ITF Women Palma Del Rio, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Vedder'…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF Palma Del Rio: Eva Vedder vs Elena Micic on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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