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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 100% Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) 92% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 90% Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? 90% Volume: $519K Liquidity: $644K Closes: 15 Jul 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)92%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?90%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 1?10%
O/U 2.5 Games5%
Game 2 Winner1%
Match Winner1%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)1%
Game 1 Winner0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: furia esports vs dplus kia (bo3) - esports world cup group a stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between FURIA Esports and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 15 at 12:10PM ET. Th…

Methodology

We track LoL: FURIA Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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