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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 3.5 Games 71% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? 63% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 61% Volume: $140K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
71% 29% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
71% 29% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games71%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?63%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon57%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?52%
First Blood in Game 4?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
First Blood in Game 5?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 3?49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?47%
First Blood in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?46%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor44%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors44%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor43%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors43%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Game 3 Winner40%
Game 1 Winner39%
Game 2 Winner39%
Game 4 Winner39%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Match Winner30%
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%

Market context

The LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 71% YES. This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Karmine Corp and Dplus KIA in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 19 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmin…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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