Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game Handicap: PNG (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) | 1% paiN Gaming | 99% LOS |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
| Match Winner | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) | 100% LOS | 0% paiN Gaming |
Market context
The LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 1% YES. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between LOS and paiN Gaming in the Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 10 at 5:15P…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup So… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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