LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team WE and Bilibili Gaming will compete in the League of Legends Pro League lower bracket final on 13 June 2026, with the winner advancing to the grand final. This best-of-five match determines which organisation gets a second chance after losing in the upper bracket. The settlement window closes at 14:30 UTC on that date, meaning the match must conclude with a decisive winner by then; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved outcome beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 split of the market.

In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that Team WE wins this specific fixture, whilst a NO share bets on Bilibili Gaming. The current 0% implied probability for YES reflects either extreme confidence in Bilibili Gaming or, more likely, minimal trading activity and liquidity in this particular market. Historical LPL lower bracket finals have typically featured competitive matchups between organisations of similar calibre, making outright dismissals of either finalist unusual. Team WE and Bilibili Gaming both maintain rosters capable of deep playoff runs, so the absence of trading interest rather than fundamental certainty should inform how traders interpret the current odds.

Key variables affecting match outcome include roster health, recent scrim performance, and meta alignment heading into playoffs. The LPL typically publishes official schedules and any postponements through its English-language channels; traders should monitor announcements from Riot Games LPL or the teams' official accounts for confirmation of the 5:00 AM ET start time. Patch changes in the weeks preceding playoffs can significantly shift champion viability and team preparation timelines, particularly for organisations with different coaching philosophies.

Methodology

We track LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.