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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 68% O/U 8.5 57% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 56% Volume: $446K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.581%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.568%
O/U 8.557%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.556%
NRFI51%
Spread -1.550%
O/U 9.548%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.543%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.543%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers35%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.532%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.518%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings6%

Market context

Market consensus: 81% chance of arizona diamondbacks vs. los angeles dodgers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 10 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the A…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 81% for "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 81% Other 19%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $446K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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Trade Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on Prediction Market UK

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Related Topics

Sports