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Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Market UK.

NRFI 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 99% Volume: $301K Liquidity: $266K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.599%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.591%
O/U 9.585%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.581%
O/U 10.578%
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals76%
Spread -1.566%
O/U 11.566%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.565%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
O/U 13.550%
Spread -3.542%
Spread -1.514%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.511%
Extra Innings8%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.57%
Spread -2.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of houston astros vs. washington nationals. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals, scheduled for July 6 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $301K.

Methodology

This page reviews Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals on Prediction Market UK

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Related Topics

Sports