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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 52% O/U 8.5 50% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 50% Volume: $412K Liquidity: $403K Closes: 17 Jul 2026
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.562%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.552%
O/U 8.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.550%
Extra Innings50%
NRFI49%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.549%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates47%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.537%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.536%

Market context

The Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates prediction market currently prices this outcome at 62% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 10 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the gam…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 62% for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 62% Other 38%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $412K.

Methodology

This page reviews Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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