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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Live odds for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% O/U 6.5 65% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 56% O/U 7.5 52% Volume: $94K Liquidity: $738K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.570%
O/U 6.565%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.556%
O/U 7.552%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates47%
NRFI45%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.543%
Spread -1.536%
Spread -1.535%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.532%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.531%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.514%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates — current market-implied probability: 70%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for July 12 at 12:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the ga…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 70% for "Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 70% Other 30%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $94K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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