Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 11 June, the Minnesota Twins will travel to Detroit to face the Tigers in a regular-season Major League Baseball fixture scheduled for 1:10 PM Eastern Time. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that the Twins win; a NO share bets on a Tigers victory. The settlement window remains open until 18 June to account for any postponements, with the official MLB records serving as the authoritative resolution source. Should the game be cancelled without a rescheduled make-up date, or if it ends in a tie, the market splits 50-50 between both outcomes.

The current 0% implied probability for a Twins victory reflects either extreme confidence in Detroit or, more likely, a thin order book with minimal trading activity. Historical context matters here: the Twins and Tigers have played 2,000+ times since 1901, with Minnesota holding a marginal edge in their all-time record. Recent divisional performance and injury status typically shift these probabilities substantially. As of early June 2026, traders should monitor roster announcements—particularly starting pitcher assignments and any last-minute lineup changes—since pitching matchups are the strongest predictors of single-game outcomes in baseball. Weather conditions in Detroit and travel fatigue from the Twins' schedule warrant attention as secondary factors.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.