Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
49% | 51% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
49% | 51% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays | 49% Texas Rangers | 52% Toronto Blue Jays |
| NRFI | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 56% Toronto Blue Jays | 44% Texas Rangers |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 59% Texas Rangers | 41% Toronto Blue Jays |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 52% Toronto Blue Jays | 49% Texas Rangers |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 54% Texas Rangers | 47% Toronto Blue Jays |
Market context
Market consensus: 49% chance of texas rangers vs. toronto blue jays. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Texas Rangers and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 26 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $281K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Trade Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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