Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 26.5 | 94% |
| Panthers O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 28.5 | 92% |
| Panthers O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| Buccaneers O/U 10.5 | 90% |
| Panthers O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| Buccaneers O/U 12.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 87% |
| Panthers O/U 16.5 | 85% |
| O/U 32.5 | 84% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 83% |
| O/U 34.5 | 80% |
| Buccaneers O/U 13.5 | 80% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 36.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 75% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 38.5 | 70% |
| Buccaneers O/U 16.5 | 70% |
| Panthers O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 65% |
| O/U 40.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Panthers O/U 20.5 | 63% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 61% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 42.5 | 57% |
| Buccaneers O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 56% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 56% |
| Spread -1.5 | 55% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 52% |
| Buccaneers O/U 20.5 | 52% |
| Panthers O/U 23.5 | 52% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| O/U 44.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 21+ | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Buccaneers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Panthers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Buccaneers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 17.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Panthers 2H O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Exact Margin: Panthers by 1-6 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 10.5 | 48% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| Safety? | 48% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 48% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 48% |
| Buccaneers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 47% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 46% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 46.5 | 45% |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| Exact Margin: Buccaneers by 1-6 | 44% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 44% |
| 1H Moneyline | 44% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers | 42% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 10.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Buccaneers O/U 23.5 | 39% |
| Panthers O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Spread -5.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| O/U 48.5 | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 17.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| O/U 50.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 33% |
| Panthers O/U 27.5 | 33% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 13.5 | 33% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 17.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| O/U 52.5 | 29% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Panthers 1H O/U 20.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| Buccaneers O/U 26.5 | 27% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 16.5 | 27% |
| Buccaneers 1H O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| O/U 54.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Panthers O/U 30.5 | 23% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 22% |
| Buccaneers O/U 27.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 19% |
| O/U 56.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| O/U 58.5 | 16% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 60.5 | 14% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 12% |
| Buccaneers O/U 30.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Spread -19.5 | 10% |
| O/U 62.5 | 10% |
| O/U 64.5 | 10% |
| Buccaneers O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -21.5 | 8% |
| Panthers O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -17.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of buccaneers vs. panthers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Panthers, scheduled for October 25 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Buccaneers" if Buccaneers win the game. This …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $199K.
Methodology
We track Buccaneers vs. Panthers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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