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UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott 54% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% O/U 1.5 Rounds 53% Fight won by KO/TKO? 49% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $143K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott54%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
O/U 1.5 Rounds53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
Fight won by submission?48%
O/U 2.5 Rounds48%
Fight to Go the Distance?37%
Anderson to win by KO/TKO?32%
Elliott to win by KO/TKO?10%

Market context

Market consensus: 54% chance of ufc fight night: damien anderson vs. ezra elliott (featherweight, prelims). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market will resolve to "Damien Anderson" if Damien Anderson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ezra Elliott at UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman, sched…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott at 54% for "UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims)".

Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott 54% Other 46%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $203K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (Featherweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Damien Anderson vs. Ezra Elliott (F… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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