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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5) 100% Volume: $350K Liquidity: $516K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-5.5) vs AG.AL International (+5.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-6.5) vs AG.AL International (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)99%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)99%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.577%
Match Winner67%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.51%
Map Handicap: AG.AL (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-7.5) vs AG.AL International (+7.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between MIBR LOS and AG.AL International in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "M…

Methodology

We track Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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