Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Captain | 94% |
| Messi | 92% |
| Record | 89% |
| Euro | 83% |
| History | 77% |
| Bronze | 74% |
| Qatar / Russia | 72% |
| Zlatan / Ibrahimovic | 66% |
| VAR | 65% |
| Goal 75+ times | 63% |
| What a Save | 62% |
| Bench / Benches 7+ times | 57% |
| Handball | 57% |
| Comeback / Come Back | 57% |
| Golden Boot 3+ times | 54% |
| Nutmeg / Nutmegs | 53% |
| Dolphins | 47% |
| Equalizer | 46% |
| Transition | 44% |
| Gianni / Infantino | 44% |
| Penalty Shootout | 42% |
| Pressure 15+ times | 38% |
| Foul 12+ times | 37% |
| Hattrick / Hat Trick | 37% |
| Ronaldo | 37% |
| Own Goal | 36% |
| Maradona / Pelé | 36% |
| Vertical / Verticality | 35% |
| Crossbar | 30% |
| Powerade | 30% |
| Penalty Kick | 28% |
| GOAT / Greatest Of All Time | 24% |
| Lenovo | 24% |
| Red Card | 21% |
| Tenure | 17% |
| Legacy | 16% |
| Heavyweight | 16% |
| Shakira | 14% |
| Soccer | 11% |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 11% |
| Golden Ball | 9% |
| Trump | 8% |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 94% YES probability for What will the announcers say during France vs England World Cup Match?. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the France vs England FIFA World Cup 2026 match on…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade What will the announcers say during France vs Englan… on Prediction Market UK
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