Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
84% | 16% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
84% | 16% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics | 84% |
| Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| Rhyne Howard: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Sonia Citron: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sonia Citron: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sonia Citron: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Rhyne Howard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Jordin Canada: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kiki Iriafen: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Allisha Gray: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Angel Reese: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| O/U 166.5 | 35% |
| O/U 164.5 | 35% |
| O/U 165.5 | 24% |
| O/U 167.5 | 19% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 84% YES probability for Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:30PM ET: If the Atlanta Dream win, the market will resolve to "Atlanta Dream". If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washingto…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $265K.
Methodology
We track Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →