Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Chicago Sky and Indiana Fever will meet on 11 June at 7:00 PM ET in a regular-season WNBA matchup. A YES share represents a wager on Chicago winning; a NO share represents Indiana winning. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 11 June, with the final score—including any overtime—determining the outcome. Should the fixture be postponed, the market remains open until completion; if cancelled without rescheduling, both sides resolve at 50p.

The current 32% implied probability for Chicago reflects their competitive standing relative to Indiana this season. The Fever have emerged as a stronger outfit in recent campaigns, particularly following the arrival of Caitlin Clark in 2023, which reshaped their roster trajectory. Chicago, meanwhile, has cycled through roster adjustments and coaching changes. Historical matchup records and season-to-date performance metrics typically anchor such probabilities, with Indiana's recent consistency factoring heavily into the market's lean towards them.

Traders monitoring this fixture should track injury reports released in the 48 hours before tip-off, as absences of key players can shift win probability substantially. Venue conditions—the game location affects travel fatigue and home-court advantage—merit attention. Recent form matters considerably; a team on a winning streak entering the fixture would typically see their probability rise. Official WNBA announcements regarding roster status or any scheduling changes should be checked via the league's website or team social media channels closer to the settlement window.

Methodology

This page reviews Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.