Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 13 June at 8:30 PM ET, the Dallas Wings will face the Portland Fire in a regular-season WNBA matchup. In prediction markets, traders buy YES shares if they believe Dallas will win, or NO shares if they expect Portland to prevail. Each share pays £1 if the outcome occurs; the current 0% probability for YES suggests the market has assigned near-zero likelihood to a Dallas victory. The settlement window closes at 00:30 UTC on 14 June, shortly after the final whistle. Should the game be postponed, the market remains open until completion; if cancelled with no rescheduled date, both outcomes split the pot equally.

The Wings have struggled in recent seasons, whilst Portland has established itself as a competitive mid-tier franchise. Historical matchups between these teams and their respective win-loss records heading into June will inform whether the current probability reflects genuine form disparity or market overconfidence in Portland. Early-season WNBA results often shift as rosters stabilise and injury patterns emerge, so traders should track team announcements regarding player availability in the days before tipoff.

Key variables include roster changes, recent performance streaks, and head-to-head records. Any last-minute injury reports—particularly involving star players—can shift market expectations substantially. Traders should monitor official WNBA communications and team social media channels through 13 June, as late confirmations of player status have historically moved prices in comparable markets. Venue conditions and back-to-back game scheduling may also influence fatigue levels, though these factors are typically priced in once the fixture calendar is finalised.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.