Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Points O/U 11.5 | 91% |
| Leïla Lacan: Assists O/U 4.5 | 91% |
| Veronica Burton: Points O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Janelle Salaün: Points O/U 13.5 | 91% |
| Veronica Burton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Veronica Burton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Kayla Thornton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Leïla Lacan: Points O/U 12.5 | 10% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Kayla Thornton: Points O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| O/U 154.5 | 0% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Gabby Williams: Assists O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| O/U 153.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 7:30PM ET: If the Golden State Valkyries win, the market will resolve to "Golden State Valkyries". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resol…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $466K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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