Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
55% | 45% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
55% | 45% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | 55% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Aliyah Boston: Points O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Aliyah Boston: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Chelsea Gray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aliyah Boston: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Points O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Chelsea Gray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jackie Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Chelsea Gray: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| NaLyssa Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Tyasha Harris: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kelsey Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| O/U 180.5 | 20% |
| O/U 181.5 | 16% |
| O/U 182.5 | 15% |
| O/U 183.5 | 14% |
| O/U 184.5 | 13% |
| A'ja Wilson: Points O/U 25.5 | 1% |
| A'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| A'ja Wilson: Assists O/U 2.5 | 1% |
Market context
The Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction market currently prices this outcome at 55% YES. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Indiana Fever win, the market will resolve to "Indiana Fever". If the Las Vegas Aces win, the market will resolve to "Las Vegas Ace…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $246K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces on Prediction Market UK
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