What price will XRP hit in August?

Platform comparison

Market context

XRP would need to trade up to one of the listed August thresholds for this market to settle **YES**; otherwise it settles **NO**. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the event happens, while a NO share pays out if it does not, so the price reflects the crowd’s view of whether XRP will reach a given level before the market’s settlement window closes on 1 September 2026.

Recent forecast coverage points to a relatively tight summer range rather than a dramatic breakout. One August 2026 price view put XRP mainly between about $1.00 and $1.18, with a finish near $1.10, while other models clustered around the low-$1.20s to mid-$1.30s and a few outliers were much more bullish.[2][3][8] That kind of spread is useful for reading a 0% implied probability: it usually means traders see the quoted threshold as far above the base case, not that movement is impossible. Comparable chart-based commentary also highlights support around $1.05 and resistance near $1.22, which frames the market as one where a breakout would need a clear catalyst.[5][6]

Traders should watch for any shift in broader crypto risk appetite, especially Bitcoin, because recent commentary says XRP has been moving closely with BTC rather than independently.[2] Also relevant are any Ripple-related announcements, regulatory developments, or exchange-product headlines, since August price forecasts repeatedly treat the month as catalyst-light unless a new event changes sentiment.[1][7] If no major announcement lands, the market may continue to price XRP as range-bound, leaving the highest thresholds difficult to reach before the settlement deadline.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track What price will XRP hit in August? across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.