# of views of MrBeast video day 2?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast's latest YouTube upload will accumulate views during its first two days online, and this market tracks whether that count will land within specific brackets by the 48-hour mark. A YES share represents a bet that views fall within a particular range; a NO share bets they fall outside it. The settlement source is the public view counter on his channel, read at the exact moment the 48-hour window closes. If the actual figure sits precisely between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range.

MrBeast's upload velocity has remained consistent across his recent catalogue. Videos posted to his 200+ million-subscriber channel typically accumulate between 50 million and 150 million views within 48 hours, depending on content type and release timing. His highest-performing two-day debuts have exceeded 180 million views, whilst lower-engagement uploads have settled around 40 million. The 0% crowd probability suggests traders expect the outcome to fall outside whichever bracket this market is pricing, though without visibility of the specific bracket thresholds, the consensus reflects either extreme confidence in a particular range or genuine uncertainty about the video's performance.

Traders should monitor the upload date and time, as MrBeast typically releases videos on weekdays during peak engagement windows. Content category—whether the video features a challenge, collaboration, or philanthropic element—historically influences velocity. Recent platform algorithm shifts and subscriber engagement patterns will shape how quickly the view count accumulates. The settlement window extends to mid-June 2026, allowing the full 48-hour measurement period to complete before any resolution occurs.

Methodology

We track # of views of MrBeast video day 2? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.