What price will Bitcoin hit on June 11?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's price on 11 June 2026 will determine whether this market resolves YES or NO. A YES share pays out if Bitcoin reaches a specific price threshold on that date; a NO share pays out if it does not. The current crowd probability of 0% YES reflects traders' collective assessment that the target price is unlikely to be hit. Settlement occurs the following day, giving a narrow window for price confirmation.

Bitcoin's historical volatility offers context for evaluating such binary outcomes. Over the past five years, Bitcoin has experienced intra-year swings exceeding 50%, yet specific price targets on predetermined dates remain difficult to predict with confidence. The 0% probability assigned here suggests the market views the threshold as either extremely ambitious relative to current price levels or positioned far outside Bitcoin's expected trading range by mid-2026. Comparable markets on cryptocurrency price targets typically show low probabilities when the target requires substantial moves within defined timeframes, particularly when settlement windows are brief.

Traders monitoring this market should track macroeconomic developments affecting risk appetite, regulatory announcements from major jurisdictions, and Bitcoin's technical levels in the months preceding June 2026. Institutional adoption trends, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and geopolitical events have historically influenced Bitcoin's directional bias. The specific price threshold and current spot price will determine whether the probability remains at consensus extremes or shifts materially as the settlement date approaches.

Methodology

This page reviews What price will Bitcoin hit on June 11? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.