Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 51% ex-RUBY | 50% AM Gaming |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% ex-RUBY | 50% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% ex-RUBY | 50% AM Gaming |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% Over | 49% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 52% Over | 48% Under |
Market context
Counter-Strike's CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs will feature AM Gaming against ex-RUBY in a best-of-three match on 4 June at 1:00 PM ET. A prediction market share that resolves to "YES" means you believe AM Gaming will win; a "NO" share means you expect ex-RUBY to take the series. The current 50-50 split suggests traders see this as a genuine toss-up, with neither side commanding clear favouritism based on recent form or roster strength.
Historical context matters here: CCT Europe tournaments have typically featured volatile outcomes when lesser-known rosters meet established squads, partly because preparation time and scrim availability vary widely across the circuit. AM Gaming and ex-RUBY both occupy mid-tier positions in European Counter-Strike, making head-to-head records and recent LAN performances the most reliable indicators. If either team has played the other within the past three months, that result—and the tactical adjustments made since—should anchor your assessment more firmly than raw ranking.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster stability and stand-in availability through to the settlement deadline on 4 June at 23:00 UTC. Fixture delays are common in online tournaments; the market's 7-day grace period means a postponement alone won't trigger a 50-50 resolution unless no winner emerges within that window. Watch for any official CCT communications about scheduling changes or technical issues that might affect either team's preparation. Recent form in other tournaments and any public statements about player availability will shift the implied probability away from parity.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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