Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% ENCE | 0% Entropy |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% ENCE | 100% Entropy |
| Match Winner | 100% ENCE | 0% Entropy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) | 0% ENCE | 100% Entropy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ENCE (-2.5) vs Entropy (+2.5) | 100% ENCE | 0% Entropy |
Market context
ENCE, a Finnish Counter-Strike organisation with a roster competing in regional European qualifiers, faces Entropy in a best-of-three elimination match within the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Series #4. The fixture is scheduled for 4:00 AM ET on 4 June 2026. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that ENCE will win; a NO share bets on Entropy's victory. The current probability displayed (100% YES) suggests near-certainty among traders that ENCE will prevail, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the match has not yet been played.
ENCE has maintained competitive standing in regional European qualifiers over recent seasons, though their consistency against mid-tier opponents varies considerably. Entropy remains a less-documented roster in major tournament circuits, making direct head-to-head precedent limited. Historical patterns in CCT Europe qualifiers show that seeding, recent roster stability, and scrim results often diverge from published odds; upsets occur when lesser-known teams field cohesive lineups against favourites experiencing roster churn or preparation gaps.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the settlement window closes on 4 June at 14:00 UTC. Schedule adherence matters: the match must conclude within seven days of the scheduled date for standard resolution. Withdrawal of either team, technical failures preventing completion, or extended delays beyond that window would trigger a 50-50 split. Recent CCT qualifier announcements typically appear on the official CCT website and participating organisations' social channels; absence of confirmation closer to the fixture date may signal logistical complications.
Methodology
We track Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group A on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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