Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

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Active sub-markets

Market context

A Counter-Strike best-of-three match between PARIVISION and Legacy will take place during the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 on 13 June at 10:00 AM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that PARIVISION will win the match, whilst a NO share represents a bet on Legacy's victory. The current crowd-implied probability of 35% for a PARIVISION win reflects moderate confidence in Legacy as favourites, though the match remains genuinely competitive. Settlement occurs at 21:45 UTC on 13 June, with provisions for ties or cancellations resolving at 50-50 odds.

PARIVISION and Legacy occupy different tiers within competitive Counter-Strike's regional hierarchy. Legacy has established itself as a consistent performer in tier-one tournaments, whilst PARIVISION typically competes at tier-two level. Historical matchups between similarly-ranked teams at major stages show that underdogs win approximately 30–40% of the time when probability-weighted, suggesting the current 35% figure aligns with empirical patterns. However, best-of-three formats reduce variance compared to single maps, favouring the higher-seeded team's consistency.

Traders should monitor team roster stability and recent map pool performance in the fortnight preceding the match. Any last-minute lineup changes, coaching adjustments, or injury announcements could shift the implied probability materially. Fixture scheduling delays—common at major tournaments—could trigger the seven-day cancellation clause, though ESL typically maintains tight timelines for stage matches. Practice scrim results and public statements from either team's analysts may surface on esports news outlets such as HLTV or 1UP in the days before play.

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.