Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% G2 Ares |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% G2 Ares |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Counter-Strike's CCT Europe Series #4 is a regional qualifier tournament where two professional teams—ex-RUBY and G2 Ares—will compete in a best-of-three match during the group stage phase. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that ex-RUBY will win; a NO share bets on G2 Ares. The current market shows 100% implied probability for YES, meaning traders are pricing ex-RUBY as a near-certain victor. Settlement occurs after the match concludes or by 12 June 2026 at 14:00 UTC; if the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days without resolution, or ends in a tie, the market splits 50-50 between both outcomes.
G2 Ares represents the academy or secondary roster of the G2 Esports organisation, typically fielding younger or developing talent, whilst ex-RUBY comprises players from a disbanded or restructured squad. Historical precedent in CCT Europe tournaments shows academy rosters often underperform against established competitive lineups, though roster composition and recent form matter significantly. The extreme probability weighting suggests either substantial disparity in team strength, recent performance data heavily favouring ex-RUBY, or limited market liquidity creating pricing distortions.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes before the 4:00 AM ET start time, as stand-ins or absences materially affect match outcomes. CCT Europe fixtures occasionally experience scheduling delays; confirmation of the match proceeding on schedule and both teams' travel logistics warrant attention. Recent tournament results, scrim performance, and any public statements from team management regarding preparation could shift market sentiment if new information emerges before settlement.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europ… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Market UK →