Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 50% Virtus.pro | 50% INOX Division |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% Virtus.pro | 50% INOX Division |
| Match Winner | 50% Virtus.pro | 50% INOX Division |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) | 50% Virtus.pro | 50% INOX Division |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Virtus.pro, a Polish esports organisation with a storied Counter-Strike history, faces INOX Division in a best-of-three match within the CCT Europe Series #4 group stage. The fixture is scheduled for 12 June 2026 at 07:00 ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet on Virtus.pro's victory; a NO share bets on INOX Division winning. The current 50-50 split suggests traders view both teams as evenly matched, though this equilibrium may shift as match day approaches.
Virtus.pro has maintained competitive relevance in regional European Counter-Strike despite roster changes and organisational restructuring over recent years. INOX Division remains a less established entity in the broader competitive landscape, with limited track record in major CCT tournaments. Historical precedent suggests that established organisations with deeper resources and player experience often outperform newer competitors, yet upsets occur regularly in best-of-three formats where momentum and map selection create volatility. The current probability reflects genuine uncertainty rather than consensus confidence in either side.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup adjustments, which can materially affect match outcomes. Fixture scheduling delays are common in regional esports, particularly when tournaments span multiple time zones. The settlement window extends to 17:00 ET on match day, providing a six-hour buffer; however, any postponement beyond seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Availability of recent scrim results or public practice footage in the days before 12 June may offer additional signal for probability reassessment.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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