Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Execration | 0% Mentality Monster |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Execration | 100% Mentality Monster |
| Match Winner | 100% Execration | 0% Mentality Monster |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Mentality Monster (+1.5) | 0% Execration | 100% Mentality Monster |
Market context
Execration’s lower-bracket best-of-three against Mentality Monster is a straight knockout match: the winner advances, while the loser is eliminated from the Southeast Asia closed qualifier playoff path. In prediction-market terms, a **YES** share pays out if Execration win, while a **NO** share pays out if Mentality Monster win; if the series is not completed and no winner is settled within the market rules, the market can resolve 50-50. Public match listings place the series on 22 June 2026, and current live-style listings treat Execration as the stronger side, with model-style pricing and user sentiment both leaning their way.[1][2][3]
The present 50% crowd-implied probability is consistent with a market that is still pricing in bracket uncertainty rather than a clear mismatch. Execration are listed higher in external rankings than Mentality Monster, but not by a huge margin, and the available match previews also show volatility in a short BO3 format where one poor draft can swing the whole series.[2][3] That makes the price especially sensitive to first-game momentum, since in Dota 2 a best-of-three gives both teams room to adapt, but leaves little time to recover from an early deficit.
Traders should watch for three things: whether the match starts on schedule, whether the organisers post a bracket update if timings shift, and whether any technical or admin delay pushes the series outside the seven-day settlement window. Any confirmed forfeit, cancellation, or unresolved postponement matters more than pre-match form because the market’s outcome is tied to a completed winner, not to which team was favoured before play began.[1][2][3]
Methodology
This page reviews Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
- Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The … on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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