LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Eintracht Spandau and Anubis Gaming are scheduled to play a best-of-three League of Legends match on 12 June 2026 at 14:00 ET as a decider fixture in EMEA Masters Group D. The winner advances; the loser is eliminated from the tournament. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that Eintracht Spandau wins, whilst a NO share represents a bet that Anubis Gaming wins. The current probability sits at 100% YES, indicating the market has priced Spandau as a near-certain victor, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the binary nature of competitive matches and the inherent variance in esports.

Historical precedent in EMEA Masters suggests that decider matches between regional qualifiers often produce closer results than pre-tournament seeding implies. Teams reaching elimination fixtures typically demonstrate comparable mechanical skill and preparation, with outcomes frequently determined by draft execution and mid-game rotations rather than raw talent gaps. Previous seasons have seen lower-seeded or less-favoured squads upset higher-ranked opponents in high-stakes Group D scenarios, particularly when facing teams with limited recent scrim data or roster changes.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the 12 June fixture. Patch notes released in the weeks prior will shape champion pools and itemisation strategies; significant balance changes can favour one team's signature champions over another. Stream announcements from Riot Games' official EMEA Masters channels typically confirm final match scheduling and any delays. The settlement window closes at 22:50 UTC on 12 June, allowing approximately seven hours post-match for official result confirmation and any technical review.

Methodology

We track LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.