France vs. Iraq - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup match between France and Iraq, scheduled for 5:00 PM ET on 22 June 2026 at Philadelphia Stadium, is the real-world event driving this prediction market. A YES share in this market represents a bet that the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time will match one of the explicitly listed outcomes, while a NO share bets that the score will be something else, resolving to "Any Other Score". The current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES suggests traders believe the exact listed scores are virtually impossible, likely due to the massive disparity in team strength.

Historical head-to-head data and comparable World Cup fixtures frame this near-zero probability. France, boasting a 1-0-0 record with 3 points in Group I, is heavily favoured against Iraq, who sit at 0-0-1 with 0 points [2]. In their last five encounters, France has won two but lost three, averaging 2.4 points per match, yet the current odds show France as a -700 moneyline favourite with Iraq at +2800 [2]. The over/under is set at 3.5 goals, with the over favoured at -125, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game where France dominates [1]. Such a lopsided dynamic makes any specific "exact score" outcome highly improbable, as the match is likely to end in a wide margin like 3-0 or 4-1 rather than a precise listed figure.

Traders should monitor live updates on Kylian Mbappé’s performance, who has already scored an early lead against Iraq [3], and any tactical shifts from Iraq’s defence. The match referee is Drew Fischer, and the location is confirmed as Philadelphia Stadium [4]. Recent highlights show Mbappé scoring a "weak-footed screamer", reinforcing France’s attacking dominance [9]. With the settlement window ending on 22 June 2026 at 21:00 UTC, traders must watch for any postponement announcements, as the market remains open if the match is delayed but closes if cancelled without a make-up game. The over/under 3.5 goals line is a key catalyst, as a high-scoring game further reduces the chance of an exact listed score.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.