ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan

Platform comparison

Market context

India and Afghanistan are scheduled to meet in a one-day international on 13 June 2026 as part of a bilateral ODI series. In prediction-market terms, a YES share represents a bet that India will win the match; a NO share bets on Afghanistan or a tie. The current 99% implied probability for YES reflects strong historical precedent: India has won 11 of 13 ODIs against Afghanistan since their first meeting in 2009, with Afghanistan's sole victory coming in February 2023. Afghanistan's bowling attack, led by Rashid Khan, has occasionally troubled Indian batsmen, yet India's superior depth in batting and all-round experience in high-pressure ODI cricket has consistently proven decisive.

The settlement window closes on 20 June 2026, allowing four days after the scheduled match date for official confirmation via ESPNcricinfo. Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and injury status in the weeks preceding the fixture, as the absence of key players—particularly India's opening batsmen or Afghanistan's death-bowling specialists—could shift match dynamics. Venue conditions and weather forecasts for the match location will also merit attention, as Afghanistan has shown improved performance in subcontinental conditions where spin plays a larger role. The resolution criteria treat all on-field outcomes, including Super Overs and DLS adjustments, as ordinary wins, meaning tied matches with no tiebreak provision would leave the market unresolved.

Methodology

This page reviews ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.