United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States will face Paraguay in a FIFA World Cup group-stage match on 12 June 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share represents a bet that additional markets—beyond the standard match outcome, goals, and cards markets—will be created for this fixture. A NO share represents the opposite: that no supplementary markets will materialise. The current crowd-implied probability of 23% suggests traders believe it unlikely that the platform will expand its market suite for this particular game.

Historical precedent matters here. Major platforms typically create extended market offerings for high-profile fixtures, particularly knockout stages and matches involving established footballing nations. Group-stage matches, even those featuring the USMNT, have historically received narrower market coverage unless one team is ranked exceptionally high or the fixture carries unusual significance. Paraguay's ranking (currently outside the top 30) and the group-stage context both weigh against expanded offerings, though the United States' prominence in North American markets could shift this calculus.

The settlement window closes on 13 June at 01:00 UTC, giving traders roughly 24 hours post-match to observe whether additional markets appear. Platform decisions on market expansion typically depend on real-time trading volume and user demand during the match itself. Any late-breaking injury news to key USMNT players, or unexpected competitive intensity, could influence whether the platform judges supplementary markets commercially viable. Traders should monitor the platform's market creation patterns during the group stage's opening week to establish baseline expectations.

Methodology

This page reviews United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.