Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 91% |
| O/U 34.5 | 90% |
| UMass O/U 20.5 | 86% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State | 85% |
| O/U 40.5 | 81% |
| O/U 28.5 | 79% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| UMass O/U 23.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 78% |
| O/U 36.5 | 77% |
| Spread -1.5 | 76% |
| O/U 38.5 | 75% |
| O/U 42.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| Spread -4.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| O/U 44.5 | 69% |
| O/U 46.5 | 68% |
| Spread -5.5 | 67% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 67% |
| Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 66% |
| Spread -6.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 59% |
| Spread -9.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 57% |
| O/U 50.5 | 56% |
| Spread -10.5 | 54% |
| Spread -8.5 | 53% |
| O/U 48.5 | 53% |
| Spread -11.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UMass 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| UMass 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| UMass 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| UMass Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| UMass Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| UMass vs. Sacramento State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 49% |
| Spread -12.5 | 47% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| O/U 56.5 | 43% |
| Sacramento State O/U 21.5 | 40% |
| O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| Spread -17.5 | 37% |
| O/U 62.5 | 35% |
| O/U 58.5 | 34% |
| O/U 66.5 | 33% |
| O/U 68.5 | 31% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -20.5 | 26% |
| Sacramento State O/U 27.5 | 23% |
| O/U 64.5 | 22% |
| Spread -3.5 | 16% |
| Spread -4.5 | 16% |
| Spread -2.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -6.5 | 11% |
| Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
Market context
The UMass vs. Sacramento State prediction market currently prices this outcome at 91% YES. In the upcoming college football game between UMass and Sacramento State, scheduled for September 26 at 9:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "UMass" if UMass win the game. This market will resolve t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $416K.
Methodology
This page reviews UMass vs. Sacramento State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23be123c%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade UMass vs. Sacramento State on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →