Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-2.5) vs AM Gaming (+2.5) | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: am gaming vs ex-ruby (bo3) - cct europe series 3 playoffs stands at 50% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 16 match between AM Gaming and ex-RUBY in the CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 1:00PM ET. This market…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Eur… on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Market UK →