Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Exact Score

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Market context

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will see Canada face Bosnia-Herzegovina on 12 June at 3:00 PM ET. This market settles on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time; any result not explicitly listed resolves as "Any Other Score." A YES share pays out if the specified scoreline occurs; a NO share pays if it does not. The 11% crowd-implied probability suggests traders view a particular exact score as unlikely, though the market structure allows for dozens of possible outcomes across all listed options.

Canada and Bosnia-Herzegovina have limited recent competitive history. Canada qualified for the 2022 World Cup but exited in the group stage; Bosnia-Herzegovina failed to qualify for Qatar 2022 and has not reached a World Cup since 2014. Head-to-head meetings are sparse, with their most recent competitive fixture occurring in 2013 (a 1–1 draw in World Cup qualifying). Canada's recent form shows improvement under new management, whilst Bosnia-Herzegovina's squad composition and tactical approach remain in flux ahead of 2026. Historical group-stage results suggest neither side typically produces high-scoring encounters, with matches often settling between 1–2 goals.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the tournament approaches, particularly regarding Canada's attacking depth and Bosnia-Herzegovina's defensive stability. Fixture scheduling within the group stage will also matter: playing order affects fatigue levels and tactical approach. Qualification pathway changes or late managerial shifts could alter expected playing styles. The settlement window closes immediately after the final whistle on 12 June, leaving no room for post-match disputes or VAR reviews to influence the outcome.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.