Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score

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Market context

On 22 June 2026, Norway and Senegal will meet at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey for a pivotal FIFA World Cup Group I match, with the game kicking off at 8:00 PM ET. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the final score matches one of the explicitly listed exact outcomes, while a NO share wins if the score is anything else. This specific market offers a 9% crowd-implied probability for a particular exact score, meaning traders believe that outcome is unlikely but not impossible, with the settlement window closing at midnight on 23 June 2026.

Historically, exact-score markets in World Cup games often reflect the volatility of top-tier football, where a single goal can swing probabilities dramatically. Norway and Senegal have met only once before, in a 2006 friendly won 2–1 by Norway, and their current group standings show Norway leading with 3 points after a 3–0 win, while Senegal sits at 0 points following a 2–0 loss. Betting analysis from Flashscore suggests Norway is in fine form, with odds favouring a Norway win and over 2.5 goals, which frames the current 9% exact-score probability as a low-confidence bet on a specific, narrow result rather than a likely outcome.

Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups and any late injury announcements, as player availability can drastically alter scoring patterns. Norway’s training session before the match, captured on YouTube, showed key players like Haaland and Ødegaard in attendance, but no official confirmation of their starting status has been released yet. The match referee, Wilton, is known for strict disciplinary control, which could influence the number of goals scored. With doors opening at 5:00 PM ET and the game starting at 8:00 PM ET, any last-minute squad updates from official FIFA sources or team press conferences will be critical catalysts for adjusting positions before the settlement window closes.

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Methodology

This page reviews Norway vs. Senegal - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.