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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs

Five-platform snapshot of "Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.5 81% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs 72% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner 67% Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 Winner 65% Volume: $100K Liquidity: $336K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 8.581%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs72%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 Winner67%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 Winner65%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 21.555%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 9.554%
Completed Match53%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Game Spread +/-3.551%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set Handicap +/-1.549%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 22.546%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 23.540%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Total Sets: O/U 2.537%
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs Set 1 O/U 10.530%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 81% YES probability for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Zizou Bergs. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Zizou Bergs in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets