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Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan 100% Completed Match 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $472K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan100%
Completed Match100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 36.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 38.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Match O/U 40.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan Set 3 O/U 10.50%

Market context

The Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alex Molcan in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jir…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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